In this opinion piece, Dr. Mussio argues that Novo Nordisk’s sudden loss in market value following its Ozempic profit warning illustrates a new form of corporate risk: the moment when a successful product becomes social infrastructure. He contends that managing infrastructure-level risk requires historical awareness, proactive engagement with governments, and acceptance of public obligations before […]

In this first essay in the Globe’s Futures @ Risk series, Dr. Mussio and Dr. Pacciani argue that effective risk management requires integrating historical consciousness with modern analytical tools. Exploring historical and modern examples, the authors show how overreliance on narrow, short-term models and “leader-centric” decision-making leaves systems vulnerable to rare but devastating shocks. They […]

In this article, Dr. Mussio argues that Carney’s surprise victory at the polls preserved the influence of Canada’s Laurentian elite. However, as this elite now presides over an economy facing stagnation, a housing crisis, innovation decline, and flawed energy policy, Carney must act quickly: the election win is not a mandate but a narrow window […]

In this article, Dr. Mussio argues that Carney’s surprise victory at the polls preserved the influence of Canada’s Laurentian elite. However, as this elite now presides over an economy facing stagnation, a housing crisis, innovation decline, and flawed energy policy, Carney must act quickly: the election win is not a mandate but a narrow window […]

In this article, Dr. Mussio argues that Carney’s surprise victory at the polls preserved the influence of Canada’s Laurentian elite. However, as this elite now presides over an economy facing stagnation, a housing crisis, innovation decline, and flawed energy policy, Carney must act quickly: the election win is not a mandate but a narrow window […]

SIERC is pleased to share an important new report from RAND Corporation and Dr. Mussio in his role as Chair of the Long Run Institute: “Applying History to Inform Anticipatory AI Governance: Using Foresight and Hindsight to Inform Policymaking.” This publication represents the culmination of a two-year collaboration between RAND and the LRI, bringing together […]

In this op-ed, Dr. Mussio examines historical and contemporary expressions of Canadian nationalism in response to external threats, drawing parallels between the 19th and 21st centuries. With specific examples he argues that Canada’s historical resilience in the face of existential threats suggests a capacity for unity and sacrifice, even in a modern context where economic […]

In this article Dr. Mussio and Dr. Suesse analyze the underlying logic of Donald Trump’s trade policies through three competing interpretations: a Bluff Thesis, a Reckless Driver Theory and as a Geopolitical Realignment Strategy. However, they also suggest that Trump’s policies are less about foreign threats and more about punishing “globalist” elites within the U.S., […]

In this piece, Dr. Mussio and Dr. Suesse argue that the current rise of economic nationalism in North America, exemplified by U.S. tariffs and trade tensions, is not unprecedented but part of a recurring historical pattern. Since 1840, North America has experienced at least five major cycles of economic nationalism, often triggered by a combination […]

In this op-ed, Dr. Mussio explores Canada’s current economic and institutional crises, arguing that history provides lessons for renewal. He highlights how Canada has long struggled to balance aspirations with practical governance and emphasizes the need for courage, competence, and cultural renewal. The unbuilt “Angel of Peace” monument serves as a metaphor for Canada’s unrealized […]